Bioenergy Development by Elizabeth Cushion Adrian Whiteman & Gerhard Dieterle

Author:Elizabeth Cushion, Adrian Whiteman & Gerhard Dieterle [ Cushion, Elizabeth]
Language: eng
Format: epub
ISBN: 978-0-8213-7629-4
Publisher: THE WORLD BANK
Published: 2010-08-15T00:00:00+00:00

EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC

East Asia and Pacific is likely to be a major net exporter and importer of biodiesel. China accounts for most of the developments in the region, but Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam are also likely to play important roles.

Baseline Scenario

The baseline scenario for bioenergy production and consumption in East Asia and Pacific projects a decline in total bioenergy production and consumption, a result of a drop in traditional uses of primary solid biomass for energy as incomes rise (table 4.3). However, liquid biofuel production and consumption is projected to increase significantly over the next two decades. In addition, the region is projected to become the world’s largest net importer of liquid biofuels.

In the primary solid biomass sector, production of bioenergy within the forest and agricultural processing sectors is projected to increase from 43 MTOE in 2005 to 60 MTOE in 2030; heat and power production is projected to increase from 2 MTOE to 33 MTOE. In contrast, traditional uses of forest and agricultural biomass are projected to fall from about 300 MTOE to 190 MTOE over the same period. China accounts for the majority of the increase in heat and power production (18 MTOE), a result of plans to install 30GW of heat and power production from biomass by 2020 (REN21 2008). The main feedstock for this is expected to be pellets made from agricultural residues, with eventual production of 50 million MT of pellets a year. Indonesia is also projected to increase heat and power production from biomass by a significant amount.

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